Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Information and Control》 2007-01
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Forecasting Method of Complex System Conditions Based on Wavelet Transformation and Chaos Theory

YIN Guang-wei1,ZHENG Pi-e2 (1.Shenyang University of Technology,Shenyang 110023,China; 2.Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China)  
Based on wavelet transformation and chaos theory, this paper presents a condition forecasting method for complex systems.Firstly,using wavelet decomposition theory,the system feature reference data series are decomposed into two parts: low frequency part and high frequency part.Further analysis on the two parts indicates that there exists a chaos feature in the both parts.Then,by using chaos theory,chaotic forecasting models are established to forecast the low frequency and high frequency parts respectively.Finally,forecasting results of the chaotic models are reconstructed based on wavelet theory so as to forecast the system feature reference data series.Case study shows that the proposed method is of high precision,and can be effectively applied to condition forecasting and fault trend forecast analysis of complex systems.
【CateGory Index】: TP11
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 YIN Guang-wei,ZHENG Pi'e (School of Management, Tianjin Univ., Tianjin 300072, China);Forecasting Stock Market Using Wavelet Theory[J];Systems Engineering-Theory Methodology Application;2004-06
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 FENG Yun,MA Jun-hai(School of Management,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072);Nonlinear Method Research on Demand Forefoundry for Supply Chain[J];Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition);2008-05
2 FENG Xian-gao~1,WAN Jiang-fei~2,GUO Xiao-jiang~3,LIU Qing-kun~4,LI Wei-ping~1(1.China Oil & Gas Pipeline No.4 Engineering Corporation.,Langfang 060050,China;2.China Petroleum & Gaspiteline Telecommunication & Electricity Engineering Corporation,Langfang 060050,China;3.Research Institute of Pipeline of China Nation Petroleum Corporation,Langfang 060050,China;4.Institute of Automatic Detection,Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200240,China);Computer simulation study on noise cancellation for ultrasonic signals based on blind source separation[J];Transducer and Microsystem Technologies;2006-07
3 P.Ao Department of Mechanical Engineering and Department of Physics,University of Washington,Seattle,WA 98195,USA;Emerging of Stochastic Dynamical Equalities and Steady State Thermodynamics from Darwinian Dynamics[J];理论物理通讯(英文版);2008-05
4 YAO Shu-ping,HU Chang-zhen,ZHENG Lian (Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China);Chaotic Time Series Prediction Based on Wavelet Analysis[J];Journal of Projectiles,Rockets,Missiles and Guidance;2006-SA
5 ZHANG Sen,XIAO Xian-ci (School of Electronic Engineering, UEST of China Chengdu 610054);Global Prediction of the Frequency Hopping for a Radio Set Based on Continued Fractions[J];Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China;2006-01
6 Wang Haiyan 1 Sheng Zhaohan 2 ( 1Department of Applied Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096) ( 2Institute of Systems Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096);Choice of the Parameters for the Phase Space Reconstruction of Chaotic Time Series[J];Journal of Southeast Univwrsity(Natural Science Edition);2000-05
7 HONG Shizhong (Seismological Bureau of Chengdu, Chengdu 610015,China);NONLINEAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND ITS APPLICATIONS TO GEOSCIENCE[J];ADVANCE IN EARTH SCIENCES;1999-06
8 ZHANG Yu~(1,2),REN Cheng-long~1(1.Institute of Vehicle Operation Engineering,Changsha Univ.of Science and Technology,Changsha 410076,China;2.Department of Mechanism,Nanjing Institute of Technology,Nanjing 210013,China);The Methods to Confirm the Dimension of Re-constructed Phase Space[J];Journal of National University of Defense Technology;2005-06
9 YIN Guang-wei,ZHENG Pi-e(System Engincening Research Center Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China);A Wavelet Packet-Chaotic Integration-Based New Forecasting Method for China Stock Market[J];Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management;2006-02
10 YANG Shao qing 1,ZHANG Xin hua 2,ZHAO Chang an 1,MA Le mei 2 (1 Harbin Institute of Technology,Haerbin 150001,China;2 Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian 116018,China);Study of Chaos-based Methods of Underwater Acoustic Signal Identification[J];FIRE CONTROL & COMMAND CONTROL;2000-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 Zhongke Gao and Ningde JinSchool of Electrical Engineering & Automation, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China;Inclined Oil-Water Two-Phase Flow Pattern Identification based on Complex Network Community Structure[A];[C];2009
2 Zhang sen~(1,2) Xiao Xianci~1 (1.College of Electronic Engineering,UEST Of China,Chengdu 610054 2.Department of Mathematics,Yibin University,Sichuan,644007,China);Global Prediction for Chaotic Time Series Based on Continued Fractions[A];[C];2005
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Zheng Jun Zhu Jing (Zhejiang University Hangzhou 310027 China);Image Feature Extraction of Electrical Power Equipment Based on Second Generation Wavelet Transform[J];Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society;2003-06
2 Ju Ping(Hehai University) Ma Daqiang(Zhejiang University);PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF POWER SYSTEM STABILITY[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;1990-03
3 Wang Chengshan, Yu Xuyang (Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China);TRANSIENT STABILITY PROBABILITY ANALYSIS METHOD BASED ON FITTING CURVE[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2003-06
4 Zhao Qingsheng, Liu Sheng, Chen Chen (Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200240, China);REAL-TIME INSTABILITY PREDICTION BASED ON ENERGY APPROACH AND PHASOR MEASUREMENT UNITS[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2003-14
5 Peng Jiangnan 1, Sun Yuanzhang 1, Wang Haifeng 2 (1. Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2. Bath University, Bath, UK);RESEARCH ON THE PERTURBED TRAJECTORIES PREDICTION BASED ON WIDE-AREA MEASUREMENT AND ON-LINE ADMITTANCE MATRIX IDENTIFICATION[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2003-22
6 LIU Zhaoyan,JIANG Quanyuan,CAO Yijia(Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China);Fast Learning Algorithm for Transient Stability Prediction Based on Wide-area Measurement System[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2007-21
7 SUN Yuanzhang1, LIU Haitao1, CHENG Lin1, WANG Peng2(1. State Key Laboratory of Power Systems, Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2. Nanyang Technological University, Singapore);A Scheme for Online Short-term Operational Reliability Evaluation[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2008-03
8 Geng Chiyong Gao Houlei Liu Bingxu Wang Bin (shandong University, Jinan, 250061);PMU BASED REAL-TIME MONITORING SYSTEM FOR POWER ANGLE[J];Proceedings of The Csu-epsa;2003-03
9 SU Jian-she, CHEN Chen (Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200030, China);Transient Stability Prediction Using Time-Series Based on GPS Synchronized Measurement[J];Electric Power Automation Equipment;2001-09
10 WANG Li-ding1,YANG Dong1,WU Jing-tao1,LIU Hong-lin2(1. Beijing Sifang Automation Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100085,China;2. Jiangxi Experience Technology School,Nanchang 330008,China );Optimization of history database in WAMS[J];Electric Power Automation Equipment;2005-02
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Gao Hongbing Pan Jin Chen Hongmin;Judgement of chaos in our securities market[J];Systems Engineering;2000-06
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved