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《Journal of Astronautics》 2009-01
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Bayesian Reliability Estimation for Momentum Wheel Based on Credibility

LIU Qiang,ZHOU Jing-lun,JIN Guang,LI Hai-tao (School of Information System and Management,National University of Defense Technology,Changsha 410073,China)  
The Bayesian method is often used in the life and reliability estimation of Momentum Wheel because of its characteristic such as small sample、high reliability and long life.But there is no regard about the difference of the various source prior information,it may lead that the results of the estimation do not agree with the practice.How to perform the quantitative analysis about the difference of the prior information reasonably is a big puzzled problem in the reliability field.Aiming at this problem,this paper put forward a new concept of credibility from the entropy of the prior information,and uses the credibility of different prior information to quantitatively measure the difference of the information.The practical analysis proves that the credibility can reflect the difference of prior information,and the method of the reliability estimation based on credibility is effective and more according with the practice.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金《基于失效物理的小子样长寿命产品寿命预测理论》(60701006)
【CateGory Index】: V448.2
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