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《Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology》 2013-01
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Bus Arrival Time Forecasting and Real-time Information Publication Technology

ZUO Zhong-yi,WANG Lei(School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering,Dalian Jiaotong University,Dalian 116028,Liaoning,China)  
This paper proposes an effective bus arrival time forecasting algorithm based on historical records and modified by real time status.The algorithm takes into account of the offline and online prediction,which is able to reduce the complexity of calculation on server.Based on GPS real time information of bus status,the real-time bus status is obtained on the Finite state machine model on the server with the application of the Java EE,JSP,MySQL Database.A centralized,enterprise-level,mobile device oriented and request response based comprehensive system Android operating system technics is established to release the bus arrival time prediction and send the predicted information of bus status to user's mobile device At the last section,the system is tested at No.18 Bus line of Lushun District,Dalian,China,which demonstrates that the algorithm performs well on the system.
【CateGory Index】: U491.17;U495
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