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《NORTHWESTERN SEISMOLOGICAL JOURNAL》 2000-01
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APPLICATION OF MATHEMATICAL MODEL BASED ON MEAN GENERATION FUNCTION IN EARTHQUAKE MEDIUM TERM PREDICTION

MA Wen jing 1, ZHANG Xiao qing 2, ZHANG Xiao dong 3 (1.Seismological Bureau of Qinghai Province, Xining 810001,China; 2.University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026, China; 3.Center for Analysis and Prediction,CSB,Beijing 1  
The earthquake magnitude and energy sequence are fitted by using mathematical model based on mean generation function and prediction for medium term earthquake trend of next three years are made.The method has following features:couple score criterion is applied for raising the fitting accuracy and rate;and balance between numerical prediction and trend prediction is considers;the multistage fitting of difference sequence for raising accuracy and speed of fitting is used.Besides,the optimum period of the time sequence is given.The earthquake trend of Chinese continent in next 1~3 years is forecasted by using the method.
【Fund】: 中国地震局“九五”攻关项目! 95 0 4 0 6项目资助
【CateGory Index】: P315.75
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【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 GONG TANG Xiao-heng1,LIN Jian-ming2,SU Jing3,ZHOU Jie2(1.School of Computer Science,Sichuan University,Chengdu 610065,China;2.College of Mathematics,Sichuan University,Chengdu 610065,China;3.School of Electrical Engineering and Information,Sichuan University,Chengdu 610065,China);The Model of Earthquake Prediction[J];电脑知识与技术;2008-32
2 MA He-qing, ZHAO Wei-ming, ZHANG Wen-xiao, JIN Chun-hua (Seismological Bureau of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Ningxia Yingchuan 750001,China);APPLICATION OF SEISMICITY ACCELERATION MODEL IN NORTHWEST REGION OF CHINA[J];西北地震学报;2003-04
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 WU Shao-Chun1+, WU Geng-Feng1, WANG Wei2, YU Zhao-Chun1 1(School of Computer Engineering and Science, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200072, China) 2(Seismology Bureau of Shanghai, Shanghai 200062, China);A Time-Sequence Similarity Matching Algorithm for Seismological Relevant Zones[J];软件学报;2006-02
2 WANG Wei (Seismological Bureau of Shanghai City,Shanghai 200062);THE FORM OF SEISMICITY INCREMENT AND ITS COMPLEXITY[J];西北地震学报;2000-04
3 MA Wen jing 1, ZHANG Xiao qing 2, ZHANG Xiao dong 3 (1.Seismological Bureau of Qinghai Province, Xining 810001,China; 2.University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026, China; 3.Center for Analysis and Prediction,CSB,Beijing 1;APPLICATION OF MATHEMATICAL MODEL BASED ON MEAN GENERATION FUNCTION IN EARTHQUAKE MEDIUM TERM PREDICTION[J];西北地震学报;2000-01
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 5 Hits
1 Wang Qiong,Nie Xiaohong and Tang Lihua (Earthquake Administration of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011);ON STRESS TRIGGERING STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN WESTERN PART of SOUTHERN TIANSHAN MOUNTAIN[J];大地测量与地球动力学;2007-05
2 Wang Qiong,Nie Xiao-hong,Tang Li-hua(Earthquake administration of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang,China);PRIMARY RESEARCH ON STRESS TRIGGERING OF MID-STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN THE WESTERN PART OF NORTHERN TIANSHAN MOUNTAINS[J];内陆地震;2007-02
3 WANG Qiong1,WANG Hai-tao1,2,ZHAO Wei-ming3,NIE Xiao-hong(1.Earthquake Administration of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomy region,Urumqi 830011; 2.Lanzhou Base of Institute of Earthquake Science,CEA,Lanzhou 730000;3.Earthquake Administration of Ningxia Province,Yinchuan 750001,China);Possible reason of quiescence of strong earthquake in Kashi-Wuqia Region in recent years[J];地震;2007-02
4 MA He-qing REN Xue-mei JIN Chun-hua SHENG Ju-qin(Earthquake Administration of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Yinchuan 750001,China);2003~2004 Seismicity Analysis of the Wuzhong and Lingwu Regions[J];地震研究;2006-02
5 WANG Hai-tao~1, YANG Li-ming~2, MA Wen-jing~3, GAO Guo-ying~1, ZHAO Wei-ming~4, LI Bing-qian~5 (1. Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang,China; 2.Seismological Bureau of Gansu Province, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu,China; 3.Seismological Bureau of Qinghai Province,Xining 810001, Qinghai,China;4.Seismological Bureau of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia,China;5.Seismological Bureau of Shanxi Province, Xian 710068, Shanxi,China);THE SUMMARIZATION OF STUDY EVOLVEMENT ON SHORT- TERM PRECURSORY CHARACTERISTICS AND PREDICTION METHODS FOR STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN NORTHWEST CHINA REGION[J];内陆地震;2004-04
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