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《China Population, Resources and Environment》 2005-01
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Load-carrying Capacities of Regional Water Resource For Social and Economic Development

YAN Ye-chao~1 SUN Xi-hua~2 LI Ping~2(1.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agricultural Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun Jilin 130012,China;2.College of Population, Resources and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan Shandong 250014, China)  
The supporting capacity of water resources equal to the supporting limit of water resources to the developmental total target in some region under the current technology conditions.Conducted by the system dynamics theory, this article analyzes the supporting capacity of water resources in Changqing district and studies out three regional developmental programs under the water resources restriction.They are the water resources investment control, the industry increase control and the reclaimed water treatment control.The emulation result suggests the applicability of the third program is the best. With the water resources investment gradually increasing and the investment ratio tending to reasonable, the supporting capacity of water resources to the social and economic development will increase from the 0.98 in 2002 to 1.0 in 2010.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目 (4 0 3 760 2 4)
【CateGory Index】: F124.5
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