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《China Population,Resources and Environment》 2011-01
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Analysis of Involuntary Resettlement and Migration Based on Logit Model

SUN Tian-ye1 MA Cai-xue1 GUO Jie-wen2(1.College of Land Management,Huazhong Agriculture University,Hubei Wuhan 430070,China;2.Planning and Designing Institute,Yangtze River Water Conservancy Committee,Hubei Wuhan 430010,China)  
The total amount of resettled migrants in China is increasing into a large one due to reconstruction and reservoir engineering projects.Resettlement of migrants is a complex and systematic project given that it involves political,economic,social,ethnic,religious as well as cultural aspects.For the purpose of contributing countermeasures to the central government's Sustainable Three Gorges Resettlement Development Project,we carried out a survey by taking a "W" County in the Three Gorges Reservoir area as a sample which covered 3 towns,19 villages,46 groups,and 9 061 households.The following conclusions were drawn through a Logit regression analysis support by the data from the survey: farmer household's income,land size,living environment,living location and style had significant impact on farmer's resettlement intention when the resettlement compensation and national supporting policy were ignored.Based on the finding we recommended that when to plan relocation of reservoir area,a stiff policy treating all the farmer households similarly should be avoided and segmented household's specific conditions should be taken into account so as to reduce the possible social contradictions and conflicts to the limit.
【CateGory Index】: D632.4
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