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《Chinese Journal of Rice Science》 1987-02
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Time Series Analysis on Long Term Prediction of Tryporyza incertulas Population Dynamics

Chen Zheng (Jiangxi Computer Center)Yie Zhengxiang Wang Dudong (Jiangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences)Tu Numin (Jiangxi University)  
This paper dealt with the time series analysis for the long term prediction of population dynamics of Tryporyza incertulas(Walker).By the methods of stepwise regressive periodic analysis and stationary stochastes sequence,the following model is used: Y(t)~P(t)+S(t) Here,Y(t)is predicted value of population dynamics,P(t)is periodic term and S(t)is random term.The.better results have been obtained in forecasting practices.
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【References】
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1 Zhao Shixi~1 WuZhongfu~1 Lin Feng~1 Chen Yupeng~2 (~1Dept.of Plant Protection,FAC,Fuzhou 350002;~2Plant Protection Station of Putian,Putian,Fujian 351100);Path Analysis on Forecasting Model for Yellow Rice Borer[J];;1993-01
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【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 Liu Haoguan, Lin Dang'en, and Zhu Weihua ( Plant Protection Institute, Fujian Academy of Agricultural Sciences ) Hong Xiong, Ji Ping, and Chen Zhiheng ( Computer Laboratory, Zhangzhou Normal Institute, Fujian );RESEARCH WITH MICRO COMPUTER ON MEDIUM AND LONG TERM OCCURRENCE FORECAST OF RICE STEM BORER IN SOUTH FUJIAN[J];;1987-01
2 Zhang Shangzhi (Department of Mathematics,Jiangxi University)Zhang Zunxiong(Institute of Plant Protection,Jiangxi Academy of Agricultural science);STUDY ON THE MODERATELY LONG TERM STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF THE PADDY BORER,TRYPORYZA INCERTULAS (WALKER)[J];Journal of Plant Protection;1982-01
3 Research Group on the On-Line Prediction of Rice-Stem Borer of Jiangxi Province;ON THE LONG-TERM PREDICTION OF POPULATION DYNAMICS OF RICESTEM BORER(CHILO SUPPRESSALIS)BY STEPWISE DISCRIMINA NT ANALYSIS[J];Journal of Plant Protection;1985-02
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 WANG Zheng-Jun, LI Dian-Mo~*,XIE Bao-Yu (State Key Laboratory of Integrate d Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China);Analysis on spatial distribution and dynamics of Helicoverpa armigera (Hübner) eggs, based on GIS and GS[J];Acta Entomologica Sinica;2004-01
2 ZHOU Hai-bo1,2,CHEN Lin3,CHEN Ju-lian1,CHENG Deng-fa1,LIU Yong2,SUN Jing-rui1 (1State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Disease and Insect Pests,Institute of Plant Protection,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100193;2College of Plant Protection,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai'an 271018,Shandong;3Ningxia Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau of People's Republic of China,Yinchuan 750001);Effect of Intercropping Between Wheat and Pea on Spatial Distribution of Sitobion avenae Based on GIS[J];Scientia Agricultura Sinica;2009-11
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