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《Resource Development & Market》 2017-01
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Study on Dynamic Simulation of Sustainable Development in Loess Plateau Region of East Gansu Province——A Case Study of Qingyang City,Gansu Province

LU Chen-yu;WANG Ting;LU Cheng-peng;LI Yong-jin;LI Heng-ji;College of Geography and Environment Science,Northwest Normal University;Key Laboratory of Pollution Ecology and Environmental Engineering,Institute of Applied Ecology,CAS;College of Philosophy and Sociology,Lanzhou University;Lanzhou Literature and Information Center,CAS;  
Sustainable development was a hot research area. The corresponding regional system was a large complex system which took human activity as the core. System dynamics was an effective simulation tool to study and process the dynamic and complex system. In this paper,the theory and method of system dynamics was employed. Based on the vensim software,the dynamic simulation model of sustainable development was built in Qingyang City. Then the evolvement trend of sustainable development was simulated and analyzed. The results showed that the current development mode of economy,resources and environment in Qingyang City was not sustainable. In order to achieve the sustainable development,it was necessary to reduce the dependence of economic system on natural resources and change the economic development mode. It was also necessary to increase the technology investment,education investment and environmental protection investment at the same time. Then the increasing trend of pollution emission could be changed completely. So the economic growth could be rapid,sustainable and steady. Finally,the sustainable development could be achieved in Qingyang City.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41261112、41561110、41471116);; 甘肃省科技支撑计划项目(编号:1304FKCA067)资助
【CateGory Index】: F124.5
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