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《Resource Development & Market》 2017-05
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Natural Growth Analysis of China's Inbound Tourism Market for Nearly 14 Years

WANG Ke-jun;MA Yao-feng;College of Tourism and Environment Science,Shanxi Normal University;Department of Economics and Management,Sichuan Information Technology College;  
This paper based on the attribute structure perspective of inbound tourism market,put forward the concepts of inbound tourism naturalness,competitive,mixed market and the growth of the three. According to the data of inbound foreign tourists and purpose structure from 2001 to 2015,using the increment of analogy method,analyzed the natural growth and time evolution of China's inbound tourism for these years,and finally concluded that for nearly 14 years,the growth of the inbound tourism market in China was mainly to natural growth,grew by an average of 50. 33% a year,the advantage of a bog country was the main reason of the result and it would not change for a longtime in the future. In purpose structure,natural growth was mainly from the growth of others,conference and business,staff travel groups,from the cross analysis of purpose and space,the natural growth came from Asian tourists' and had sharp distinction between the countries,the unique geographical advantages of China and the bilateral relations was the main reason for this feature.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目“旅游流与目的地耦合——因素、模型与机制研究”(编号:41271158)
【CateGory Index】: F592.3
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